Sporting CPvs
Sturm Graz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sporting CP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40