GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sporting CP are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CPWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Raków CzęstochowaWWDDL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CPRaków Częstochowa
53.3Attack16.7
63.3Defence44.4
53.3Form22.2
58.1Power31.0
1.96xG0.66
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