Sporting CPvs
Lask Linz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP 2-3 Lask Linz
Original prediction
Sporting CP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 75.2% | 59.6% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.34 | 15.1% | 20.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 9.83 | 9.7% | 19.6% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40