GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/22/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sporting CP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while BSC Young Boys are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CPWWWWW

GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BSC Young BoysWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CPBSC Young Boys
53.3Attack33.3
63.3Defence33.3
53.3Form16.7
58.1Power31.3
1.95xG0.85
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