Sporting CPvs
Atalanta
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting CP are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60