Sporting CPvs
Atalanta
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting CP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atalanta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60