Sporting CP U23vs
Gil Vicente U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP U23 2-0 Gil Vicente U23
Original prediction
Sporting CP U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.6% | 49.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 25.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.4% | 24.8% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP U23
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Sporting CP U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00