Sporting CP U19vs
Mafra U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP U19 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP U19 1-1 Mafra U19
Original prediction
Sporting CP U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.2% | 63.4% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.70 | 15.8% | 20.8% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 11.33 | 8.0% | 15.8% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP U19
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Sporting CP U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20