Sporting CP U19vs
LASK U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP U19 2-1 LASK U19
Original prediction
Sporting CP U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.8% | 49.7% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.37 | 16.9% | 23.0% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 6.78 | 13.4% | 27.3% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP U19
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Sporting CP U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00