Sporting CP U19vs
Alverca U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP U19 3-0 Alverca U19
Original prediction
Sporting CP U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.7% | 58.3% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.7% | 22.7% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 8.58 | 10.5% | 19.0% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP U19
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Sporting CP U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60