Sporting CP Bvs
Portimonense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting CP B 1-0 Portimonense, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP B 3-0 Portimonense
Original prediction
Sporting CP B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.2% | 48.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.7% | 29.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.1% | 22.2% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Sporting CP B 1–0 Portimonense
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP B
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Sporting CP B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00