Sporting CP Bvs
Lusitânia Lourosa
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP B 1-2 Lusitânia Lourosa
Original prediction
Sporting CP B
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.5% | 37.9% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.2% | 30.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.2% | 31.7% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP B
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Sporting CP B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60