Sporting CP Bvs
Farense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP B 2-1 Farense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.6% | 35.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.9% | 30.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.5% | 33.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sporting CP BLWWLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FarenseDWWLD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CP BFarense
40.2Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
41.2Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.04xG0.96