Sporting Charleroi IIvs
Standard Liège II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Charleroi II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting Charleroi II 0-0 Standard Liège II, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Charleroi II 1-0 Standard Liège II
Original prediction
Sporting Charleroi II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.8% | 37.9% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 30.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.1% | 32.0% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Sporting Charleroi II 0–0 Standard Liège II
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Charleroi II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Sporting Charleroi II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00