Sporting Charleroi IIvs
Olympic Charleroi
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Charleroi II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Charleroi II 1-1 Olympic Charleroi
Original prediction
Sporting Charleroi II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.1% | 36.0% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 28.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.2% | 35.6% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Charleroi II
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Sporting Charleroi II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80