Sporting Charleroi IIvs
Habay-la-Neuve
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Charleroi II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Charleroi II 0-0 Habay-la-Neuve
Original prediction
Sporting Charleroi II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.0% | 42.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 28.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.0% | 29.6% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Charleroi II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Sporting Charleroi II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60