Sporting Charleroi IIvs
Albert Quévy-Mons
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albert Quévy-Mons · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Charleroi II 1-0 Albert Quévy-Mons
Original prediction
Albert Quévy-Mons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.26 | 21.3% | 32.3% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 27.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.0% | 40.0% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–08%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Albert Quévy-Mons
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Albert Quévy-Mons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40