Sporting Braga Wvs
Torreense W
COMPLETEDPortugal · 1a Divisão - Women · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torreense W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Braga W 0-3 Torreense W
Original prediction
Torreense W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 27.7% | 33.7% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.2% | 28.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.1% | 37.5% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Torreense W
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Torreense W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00