Sporting Braga U23vs
Marítimo U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Braga U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Braga U23 1-3 Marítimo U23
Original prediction
Sporting Braga U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.0% | 49.4% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.1% | 26.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 6.07 | 14.9% | 24.0% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Braga U23
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Sporting Braga U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00