Sporting Braga U19vs
Porto U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Braga U19 2-4 Porto U19
Original prediction
Porto U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.01 | 22.4% | 27.8% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.5% | 28.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.1% | 44.1% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Porto U19
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Porto U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80