Sporting Braga U19vs
Moreirense U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Braga U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Braga U19 0-1 Moreirense U19
Original prediction
Sporting Braga U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.1% | 53.5% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.5% | 24.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.4% | 21.9% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Braga U19
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Sporting Braga U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60