Sporting Ben Arousvs
US Tataouine
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Ben Arous · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Ben Arous 2-2 US Tataouine
Original prediction
Sporting Ben Arous
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.3% | 40.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.2% | 30.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.6% | 29.0% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Ben Arous
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Sporting Ben Arous has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20