Sporting Ben Arousvs
Mégrine
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Ben Arous 1-0 Mégrine
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 43.7% | 35.8% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.1% | 30.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.2% | 33.7% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sporting Ben ArousDDWLW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MégrineWWDWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Ben ArousMégrine
50.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
41.7Form83.3
52.8Power75.3
1.05xG1.19