GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/13/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Türkspor Dortmund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sportfreunde Siegen are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Türkspor Dortmund are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Türkspor Dortmund hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Türkspor Dortmund holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Türkspor Dortmund

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Türkspor Dortmund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportfreunde SiegenLLWW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Türkspor DortmundDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Sportfreunde SiegenTürkspor Dortmund
63.7Attack80.4
54.9Defence59.8
52.0Form72.5
56.9Power70.3
1.62xG2.12
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