Sportfreunde Siegenvs
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-weiss Oberhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportfreunde Siegen 3-1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen
Original prediction
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.22 | 14.5% | 11.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 19.7% | 15.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 65.8% | 72.8% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60