GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/25/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportfreunde Siegen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Sportfreunde Siegen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Finnentrop / Bamenohl are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Siegen hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Sportfreunde Siegen holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportfreunde Siegen

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

66.0%

Sportfreunde Siegen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportfreunde SiegenLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Finnentrop / BamenohlDWLLL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sportfreunde SiegenFinnentrop / Bamenohl
63.7Attack68.6
54.9Defence18.6
52.0Form43.1
56.9Power44.5
3.53xG1.68
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