GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/22/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportfreunde Schwaig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sportfreunde Schwaig are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Heimstetten are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Schwaig hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sportfreunde Schwaig holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Sportfreunde Schwaig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportfreunde SchwaigLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenLDLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Sportfreunde SchwaigHeimstetten
66.7Attack53.3
60.0Defence53.3
53.3Form46.7
59.6Power53.0
1.91xG1.30
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