Sportfreunde Lottevs
Paderborn II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paderborn II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 Paderborn II
Original prediction
Paderborn II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.98 | 18.3% | 18.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.4% | 19.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.3% | 62.4% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Paderborn II
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Paderborn II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80