Sport Recifevs
São Bernardo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/6/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sport Recife 0-0 São Bernardo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Recife 2-1 São Bernardo
Original prediction
Sport Recife
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.7% | 41.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.9% | 28.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.4% | 29.5% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Projected Score
Sport Recife 0–0 São Bernardo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60