Serie BSerie B
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home
DL
22
Full time
Operario-PR

Operario-PR

Away
WW
Ilha do Retiro
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Draw35%
Operario-PR35%
Sport Recife30%
Win probability
Sport Recife
30%
Draw
35%
Operario-PR
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sport Recife
54
Operario-PR
54
Defence
Sport Recife
27
Operario-PR
82
Momentum
Sport Recife
17
Operario-PR
100
Danger (xG)
Sport Recife
1.35
Operario-PR
0.71
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sport Recife)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Operario-PR)
0.71
avg per match
xG against (Sport Recife)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Operario-PR)
1.11
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sport RecifeSport Recife
DLLD
Operario-PROperario-PR
WWWWL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Sport Recife30%
Draw35%
Operario-PR35%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sport Recife head into this in Serie B fixture at Ilha do Retiro in mixed form (DL), while Operario-PR arrive in decent form (WW). Sport Recife have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Operario-PR over 2 games.

Tactically, Operario-PR hold the edge. Their decent attack (54/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Sport Recife defence (27/100), while Sport Recife's attack faces a watertight Operario-PR backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Sport Recife have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Operario-PR have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Operario-PR have generated 0.52 xG per game recently while conceding 2.22 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Sport Recife and Operario-PR in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 38% confidence. Win probabilities: Sport Recife 3031%, Draw 3500%, Operario-PR 3469%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

D
vs Botafogo SP
11 Jul 2026
33
L
@ Criciuma
4 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Fortaleza EC
28 Jun 2026
12
D
vs Atletico Goianiense
19 Jun 2026
11
Operario-PR

Operario-PR

W
vs Novorizontino
12 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.5
W
@ Athletic Club
8 Jul 2026
10
W
vs America Mineiro
27 Jun 2026
10
W
@ Goias
21 Jun 2026
30
L
vs Nautico Recife
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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