Sport Recifevs
Juventude
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sport Recife 0-0 Juventude, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Recife 2-1 Juventude
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.2% | 33.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.8% | 34.3% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.0% | 32.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Sport Recife 0–0 Juventude
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sport RecifeLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JuventudeLWDDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport RecifeJuventude
44.0Attack35.7
66.7Defence79.8
48.8Form59.5
55.0Power60.0
0.66xG0.66