Sport Recifevs
Criciuma
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sport Recife 0-0 Criciuma, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Recife 2-1 Criciuma
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 34.1% | 35.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.9% | 32.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 37.1% | 32.2% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Sport Recife 0–0 Criciuma
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sport RecifeLDWWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CriciumaWWLWW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sport RecifeCriciuma
44.1Attack34.3
63.7Defence72.5
50.0Form57.8
54.6Power57.0
0.77xG0.69