GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 5/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sport Recife are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.5% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sport Recife

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

20.5%

Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport RecifeWDDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CearaDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport RecifeCeara
41.3Attack34.9
69.8Defence60.3
50.8Form39.7
56.3Power47.3
1.08xG0.56
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