Sport Recifevs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 5/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sport Recife are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.5% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
20.5%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00