Sport Recife leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Sport Recife head into this in Serie B fixture at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho in mixed form (DL), while Atletico Goianiense arrive in mixed form (L). Sport Recife have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Atletico Goianiense over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Sport Recife's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable Atletico Goianiense defence (6/100), while Atletico Goianiense's attack is up against a vulnerable Sport Recife backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Sport Recife's favour.

Sport Recife have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Atletico Goianiense have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Atletico Goianiense have generated 2.88 xG per game recently while conceding 1.49 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Sport Recife to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Sport Recife 3810%, Draw 3150%, Atletico Goianiense 3040%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Recent form

Sport Recife

D

vs Botafogo SP

11 Jul 2026

3–3

L

@ Criciuma

4 Jul 2026

0–1

L

@ Fortaleza EC

28 Jun 2026

1–2

D

vs Atletico Goianiense

19 Jun 2026

1–1

Atletico Goianiense

L

@ Novorizontino

4 Jul 2026

0–3

W

vs Ponte Preta

28 Jun 2026

2–0

D

@ Sport Recife

19 Jun 2026

1–1

W

@ America Mineiro

9 Jun 2026

2–1

xG 2.9

D

vs Atletico Paranaense

14 May 2026

0–0

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