GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sport Recife are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Athletic Club are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport RecifeDDLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
22.2Attack60.0
55.6Defence53.3
22.2Form46.7
36.4Power54.3
1.06xG1.33
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