Sport Huancayovs
UTC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Huancayo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Huancayo 3-2 UTC Cajamarca
Original prediction
Sport Huancayo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.5% | 56.8% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 20.1% | 21.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 6.86 | 13.4% | 21.6% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sport Huancayo
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Sport Huancayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60