Sport Brasil ESvs
Castelo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Capixaba B · 9/21/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Castelo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sport Brasil ES are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Castelo are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Castelo hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Capixaba B, while Castelo holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Castelo
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Castelo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50