GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sport Academy Kairat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sport Academy Kairat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (82.5 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the 1. Division, while Sport Academy Kairat holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sport Academy Kairat

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

12.1%

Sport Academy Kairat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport Academy KairatWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shakhter KaragandyLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport Academy KairatShakhter Karagandy
100.0Attack94.4
81.5Defence87.0
79.6Form90.7
82.5Power87.7
1.63xG1.44
View match centre →