GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/16/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Zephyr W are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Carolina Ascent W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Carolina Ascent W hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the USL Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane Zephyr WDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Carolina Ascent WWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Spokane Zephyr WCarolina Ascent W
44.0Attack33.3
61.9Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
53.9Power80.3
1.09xG0.98
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