GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/12/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Omaha are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the USL League One Cup, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityUnion Omaha
46.7Attack83.3
53.3Defence0.0
66.7Form50.0
57.5Power46.3
1.95xG1.55
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