GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the USL League One, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarasota ParadiseLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocitySarasota Paradise
43.9Attack31.6
59.6Defence47.4
56.1Form31.6
54.3Power39.4
1.56xG0.67
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