Spokane Velocityvs
Portland Hearts of Pine
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spokane Velocity 3-3 Portland Hearts of Pine
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.6% | 46.2% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 27.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.6% | 26.7% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80