GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the USL League One, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityWLDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NY CosmosL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Spokane VelocityNY Cosmos
43.9Attack33.3
59.6Defence25.9
56.1Form20.4
54.3Power29.9
2.26xG0.69
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