GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/26/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the USL League One Cup, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityLWDWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphWWLDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityGreenville Triumph
46.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence41.7
66.7Form25.0
57.5Power35.2
1.74xG1.03
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