Spokane Velocityvs
Chattanooga Red Wolves
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spokane Velocity 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.4% | 42.5% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.3% | 23.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.3% | 34.1% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20