USL League OneUSL League One
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Spokane Velocity

Spokane Velocity

Home
LL
30
Full time
Charlotte Independence

Charlotte Independence

Away
W
One Spokane Stadium
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Spokane Velocity(33%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Spokane Velocity
33%
Draw
26%
Charlotte Independence
41%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Spokane Velocity
9
Charlotte Independence
73
Defence
Spokane Velocity
27
Charlotte Independence
66
Momentum
Spokane Velocity
0
Charlotte Independence
100
Danger (xG)
Spokane Velocity
0.00
Charlotte Independence
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Spokane Velocity)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Charlotte Independence)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Spokane Velocity)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Charlotte Independence)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity
LL
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
WD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Spokane Velocity33%
Draw26%
Charlotte Independence41%

Charlotte Independence leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Spokane Velocity head into this in USL League One fixture at One Spokane Stadium in mixed form (LL), while Charlotte Independence arrive in mixed form (W). Spokane Velocity have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Charlotte Independence over 1 games.

Tactically, Charlotte Independence hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Spokane Velocity defence (27/100), while Spokane Velocity's attack faces a solid Charlotte Independence backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Spokane Velocity have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Charlotte Independence have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Spokane Velocity and Charlotte Independence in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Spokane Velocity to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Spokane Velocity 3265%, Draw 2625%, Charlotte Independence 4110%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Spokane Velocity

Spokane Velocity

L
@ Fort Wayne
5 Jul 2026
03
L
vs Forward Madison
2 Jul 2026
01
Charlotte Independence

Charlotte Independence

W
vs Corpus Christi
1 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

GoalVio's model predicts Spokane Velocity to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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