GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/27/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Central Valley Fuego are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the USL League One Cup, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Central Valley FuegoLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Spokane VelocityCentral Valley Fuego
46.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence58.3
66.7Form29.2
57.5Power43.3
1.40xG0.90
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