Spokane Velocityvs
Boise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spokane Velocity 2-2 Boise
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.1% | 39.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 24.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 34.8% | 36.1% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20