GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alta are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.3 against 53.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the USL League One, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

14.8%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AltaLDDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityAlta
43.9Attack48.5
59.6Defence60.6
56.1Form48.5
54.3Power53.6
1.12xG1.07
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