Spjelkavikvs
Ranheim II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/4/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spjelkavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spjelkavik 2-5 Ranheim II
Original prediction
Spjelkavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.6% | 50.1% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 17.4% | 20.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.0% | 29.1% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Spjelkavik
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Spjelkavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80